Vegas is notoriously hard to beat. But as the NFL season gets started Thursday, there’s some promise for gamblers in betting on projected team win totals. Half-win totals from 8.5 on down seem to be very solid bets to hit the over, even when accounting for the vigorish, or house margin.Money-line data is only available for a subset of the years for which we have win totals, but using a curated data set covering 2003 through 2018 provided by FiveThirtyEight contributor Greg Guglielmo, I calculated the implied probability that a team would hit the over for each half-win total below nine wins and compared it to the actual win percentage of those NFL teams. Surprisingly, there appears to be an edge.Vegas typically wants a healthy margin on its action — the vigorish on win totals averages about 30 percent. But blindly betting the over on half-point totals from 5.5 to 8.5 wins since 2003 is nearly a push, with the house netting just a percentage point edge. And if you were to bet any of the half-point totals where the under is favored (indicated by a money line that is positive), you would actually come ahead, beating the house by 3 percentage points. Put in a way more familiar to gamblers: If you bet $100 on each of the 110 half-point overs in the sample with positive money lines, you’d come out ahead $330.So why is there a systematic undervaluing of teams with half-point win predictions? One possible explanation might be that the public isn’t exactly sure how to value them; half-point totals aren’t particularly intuitive to bet. Additionally, perhaps there hasn’t been a widespread interest in surveying historical odds and win predictions, so bettors may not be particularly aware of the lack of calibration of the closing lines.I ran this finding by professional bettor Seth Burn, and he pointed out that half-point win totals with the under favored don’t appear to exist currently, so perhaps the edge has already been squeezed out of the market. Or perhaps it’s a phantom edge that never really existed in the first place.
Related Items:Gary Brough, KPMG, rufus ewing, tci tourism Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsAppProvidenciales – A one hundred thousand dollar investment being made by government to chart the course in tourism; and KPMG Turks and Caicos branch won the consultancy job which will deliver a National Strategy on Tourism. Premier and Tourism Minister Rufus Ewing flanked by Gary Brough Managing Director of KPMG and PS for his Office Wesley Clerveaux explained that the process will involve key stakeholders who are expected to weigh in on how tourism can be enhanced and should be developed. The country’s leader, admitting, that while tourism is doing well in many areas, there are pockets which need development; among them eco-tourism. The development of this national strategy will also see a tourism conference for the country in November during Tourism Awareness Week. Brough said while the KPMG office is indeed local, his team will be able to tap into the worldwide resources of his company which has a wealth of experience in the Caribbean. KPMG has for two years hosted an island infrastructure summit in Miami welcoming Caribbean leaders; last year premier Dr Rufus Ewing was among the regional leaders presenting at the two day event held at the JW Mariott Marquis hotel. TCI tourism surges for 2015; March is biggest month Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsApp PNP Convention Feb 19 Weekend; South Caicos woman announces at large interest Recommended for you TCI: Savory favors investor residency status, heralds KPMG economic report, says Caicos link is economic lifeline
ADC AUTHOR House Armed Services subcommittees are continuing to mark up the fiscal 2020 defense policy bill. Recent subcommittee actions include:The Readiness subcommittee plans to increase oversight of privatized military housing in its fiscal 2020 defense policy legislation, but current provider contracts are limiting its reach. The subcommittee has dropped language addressing the contracts for fear of sparking litigation, according to a CQ report.The Readiness panel’s draft bill would prohibit installations from using PFAS-based firefighting foam in nonemergency situations. It also would require DOD to transition away from using the chemicals, which have been found in drinking water.The Military Personnel subcommittee advanced its portion of the bill Tuesday. It authorizes a 3.1% pay raise for troops, a basic needs allowance for certain low-income troops and higher reimbursements for military spouses earning new job certifications and licenses when moving base to base.The Personnel panel’s draft approves the administration’s request to increase troops by 7,700 next year. Active-duty levels would increase by 6,215, and reserve levels would increase by 1,507.The Seapower subcommittee’s draft language would block the Navy from retiring the aircraft carrier USS Truman early. The Navy had requested retiring the Truman in its 2020 budget and using the savings to pay for advanced technologies such as unmanned vessels. President Donald Trump and Vice President Mike Pence have both said the administration supports refueling the Truman instead of retiring it.
WILMINGTON, MA — Below is a round-up of what’s going on in Wilmington on Monday, June 4, 2018:Happening Today:Weather: Rain. Areas of fog after 9am. High near 53. East wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.At Wilmington Public Schools: The WHS Band’s Annual BBQ Banquet takes place at 6pm in Wilmington High’s Cafeteria. …. The WHS CATS will hold its monthly meeting at 7pm in the High School’s Large Instruction Room.At The Library: Wilmington Community Playgroup at 9:30am. Barstool Sports Jerry Thornton talks Patriots at 2:30pm. Community Roundtable at 6:15pm. [Learn more and register HERE.]At The Senior Center: Blood Pressure at 9:30am. SBF Exercise at 9:45am. Special Exercise at 11am. Wii Bowling at 12:30pm. [Learn more HERE.]Go Wildcats!: The WHS Girls Tennis battle Wayland at 4pm at Wilmington High in first-round state tournament action.(NOTE: What did I miss? Let me know by commenting below, commenting on the Facebook page, or emailing firstname.lastname@example.org. I may be able to update this post.)Like Wilmington Apple on Facebook. Follow Wilmington Apple on Twitter. Follow Wilmington Apple on Instagram. Subscribe to Wilmington Apple’s daily email newsletter HERE. Got a comment, question, photo, press release, or news tip? Email email@example.com.Share this:TwitterFacebookLike this:Like Loading… RelatedThe Wilmington Insider For October 17, 2018In “5 Things To Do Today”5 Things To Do In Wilmington On Monday, July 1, 2019In “5 Things To Do Today”The Wilmington Insider For November 5, 2018In “5 Things To Do Today”
(Representative image)Johannes Simon/Getty ImagesA 19-year-old boy fell to his death from the ninth floor of an apartment when he tried to enter his lover’s flat through a window. The incident happened in Mumbai on Wednesday, July 10.The dead body of the boy, who was in love with the married woman, was discovered by the watchman of the building at 2:30 am. After investigating the matter, the police concluded that the teenager, who was staying in the 15th floor of the same building, was stealthily trying to meet his lover without his uncle’s knowledge nor the woman’s husband’s.Shaikh, the dead boy, had moved to Mumbai from Bihar and was staying with his uncle in the building near the BYL Nair Hospital. He was working as a lab technician at a private clinic. He had fallen in love with a 24-year-old married woman who stayed with her husband in the same apartment, Times of India reports.The two lovers would meet many times while the woman’s husband was away. However, Shaikh’s uncle had almost caught him once and since then he has been extra cautious. He used to enter the woman’s ninth floor home through a window and later leave through the main door.”He continued meeting his girlfriend but entered the flat through a window, which he accessed from the parapet. He reportedly went to meet her through this route a couple of times,” an officer was quoted as saying by TOI.”When he reached the flat window, he found the woman’s husband at home. He then decided to return home. Since it had been raining for almost two weeks, the parapet had become slippery. All of a sudden he slipped from the ninth floor and landed on the ground floor,” a police officer had said.Shaikh was found by the watchman who was on his way to fill the water tank. He alerted the Agripada police who came and transferred Shaikh to Nair Hospital where he was pronounced dead.The police also took the woman’s statement who had said that she heard a thud when Shaikh fell but did not go to check the source of the sound since her husband was around.The police have filed a case of accidental death.
Listen at WEAA Live Stream: http://amber.streamguys.com.4020/live.m3uAn interview with Baltimore Mayor Stephanie Rawlings-Blake talking about issues ranging from education to law enforcement. Plus, Baltimore City Public Schools opened its doors officially for the 2015-2016 school year yesterday and we’ll bring together a round table of experts to talk about engaging our Black boys, the state teacher’s union lobbying against standardized testing and more than 100 teacher vacancies at BCPS as the year begins. It’s all coming up this evening on AFRO’s First Edition with Sean Yoes.
Computer experts warn of Bin Laden malware scams Citation: Ramnit’s heist bags 45,000 Facebook passwords (2012, January 6) retrieved 18 August 2019 from https://phys.org/news/2012-01-ramnits-heist-bags-facebook-passwords.html Ramnit’s command and control center is visible and accessible, and the security experts were able to determine the precise number of Facebook victims, which consisted of 69 percent from the UK, 27 percent from France and 4 percent from other countries.When Ramnit first started causing mischief in 2010 it was considered as a low-level threat, comments SearchSecurity.com.That assessment has changed. Ramnit’s operators were able to graduate from an older generation of techniques to infect files to morph it into something more powerful, adding Zeus source code to the mix. Trusteer, another security company, warned that the worm had acquired the ability to inject HTML code into a web browser.A worm is a type of malware that secretly integrates itself into program or data files, and infects more files each time the host program is run. Ramnit can infect Windows executable files, HTML files and other file types.Ramnit’s subsequent target was finance, bypassing two-factor authentication and transaction signing systems. In gaining remote access to financial institutions, Ramnit was able to compromise online banking sessions and was able to penetrate corporate networks. Even before the latest Facebook heist, Seculert, using a sinkhole security tool, counted 800,000 machines as infected with Ramnit from September to the end of December 2011.Ramnit’s presence is not immediately obvious. The worrisome nature of Ramnit is compounded by the fact, say experts, that users tend to use the same password for a number of web-based services, which may include not only Facebook but their mail, a VPN, and others..Blogger reactions to the news have ranged from “Change your passwords, and often!” to “Don’t click any links, never, no matter from who or how interesting!” Considering the very definition of social networks and why they are used, that kind of advice may be timely but curiously counter to the whole point. Suspecting friends and relatives of having virus-choked messages and afraid to share links for fear of infection run counter to the reason why users sign on to social networks. Behavioral trends and countertrends will get interesting too.Another troubling sign of the times is what cybercriminals now see as choice game. E-mail worms are so Yesterday, say computer security experts.Malware writers are replacing old-school worms transmitted via email with their malware now targeted for social-networks. (PhysOrg.com) — Ramnit, the bank-thieving worm, is at it again, this time scoffing up Facebook accounts. The latest oh-look-another-threat is one that security watchers say could get ugly. Ramnit has grown up since it was first discovered as a virus in the wild in 2010. Security company Seculert has posted a January 5 blog saying that Ramnit has stolen 45,000 Facebook login credentials. The accounts are mostly in the UK and France. The security firm, which has been tracking Ramnit, discovered the stolen Facebook cache in its Seculert labs. Seculert in turn passed on to Facebook the stolen credentials that it found on Ramnit servers. © 2011 PhysOrg.com This document is subject to copyright. Apart from any fair dealing for the purpose of private study or research, no part may be reproduced without the written permission. The content is provided for information purposes only. Explore further More information: blog.seculert.com/2012/01/ramnit-goes-social.html Number of Ramnit Infected Machines Between September 2011 and December 2011. Image: Seculert.
2 min read This story originally appeared on Engadget Free Webinar | Sept. 9: The Entrepreneur’s Playbook for Going Global Register Now » April 9, 2019 Logic would suggest that music downloads and streaming are good for the environment. You’re not buying physical copies, right? Not so fast — there’s a chance things could be worse. Researchers have published a study suggesting that greenhouse gas emissions are higher now than they were when physical media was all the rage. While going digital has reduced the amount of plastic, the combination of extra power demands and the sheer popularity of music (you can listen to virtually anything for $10 per month, after all) may have offset other gains. Where vinyl produced 346 million pounds of greenhouse gasses at its height in 1977, downloads and streaming are estimated to pump out 441 million to 772 million pounds.The publicly available data leaves some questions. It’s not clear that the findings account for savings from reduced transportation costs, packaging and other savings that come when the music doesn’t have to physically travel somewhere. This also doesn’t account for multitasking. If you’re listening to music while you’re already at your computer, for instance, you’re not really using significantly more power than you would otherwise.As it stands, the researchers aren’t calling for people to go back to spinning records. Rather, they want you to think about your power use and choose services that minimize their effect on the planet. They also hope this could foster alternatives that are more sustainable without sacrificing the convenience you expect from on-demand tunes. Growing a business sometimes requires thinking outside the box.